Sunak has a chance to seem statesmanlike given the current crises in the middle east and in Ukraine, though it will be economics at home, how fast inflation and interest rates fall that will dominate the domestic situation at home. Does he pursue a twin approach ?.
By holding the Blue wall through extensive tax cuts next year and also parts of the Red wall through social conservativism and an exit from the ECHR, this may well be a canny approach to his travails. With polling showing to back a exit if the rwanda plan is blocked.
On the economic front there is the hope of a pick up in economic activity mid next year when inflation will be forecasted to be around 3%. This will also be the point when the BoE starts to cut the base rate. Timing and events , events , will be crucial to whether Sunak faces.
A wipeout, or dare i say it a minority goverment. Unlikely that now seems on present polling it has to be said.
The Reformist 