Will Brexit splinter the Conservatives between there ideological wings. With the Chancerllor Philip Hammond and Amber Rudd threatening to resign, what future is there for moderation within the Parliamentary party with an increasing division between party members and the party Technocrat class who increasingly favour a softer exit or perhaps none at all . The party of Business and reform has been reduced to the parliamentary plaything of the DUP on the Brexit parliamentary front line .
Yet May is raring to go on domestic social reform. The key for the UK on the social, political and economic fronts is that a deal is passed to get on with reforms to the backstop policy to make it a long term politically sustainable plan, with the result of a stability, certainty for the UK Economy, If a deal is passed .
If a deal is passed eyes will swiftly turn to May’s future as PM given the vote of no confidence that was tabled against her. There will also be significant pressure on the Labour Leadership given the strength of feeling among his Pro European party Membership. This could cause a rupture within the PLP with a independent group of pro EU labour MP’s forming there own parliamentary group or even defecting to the lib Dems to form a merger between soft Labour centrists and the Liberal Democrats.There would be significant support for this among Labour with over 71 supporting MP’s for a second referendum who could be part such a Endeavour.
On The Conservative side if Mays No deal threat is of the table this could result in a outbreak of unity on the Government benches and the party could resolve then Brexit induced tension and get back to the social reforms that May is passionate about seeing Legislated on, to created a more socially just social view from a One nation vision of Conservatism. The threat of no Brexit at all has pushed those in the ERG to see pragmatism within themselves and are now warming to the deal that May has so painstakingly crafted and negotiated.
The Reformist 